Friday, January 30, 2009

Easy Dime Superfecta Horse Racing Handicapping

Dime supers have opened up the superfecta bet for a lot of people who wouldn't normally play a superfecta. This has had some good effects and not so good effects on the superfectas at horse tracks.

On good effect, as stated above, is that more people are playing superfectas than ever before. One bad effect is that now that people can play many combinations for cheap, there are fewer monster payoffs from the super pools than there used to be.

In times past, the people who played supers were often heavy hitters who had the bankrolls to play bets that cost a small fortune. They were willing to wager that money because they knew that some superfectas would pay off big. But the dime super players have lowered the expected payouts while spreading the wealth among a larger cross section of horse racing handicappers.

The thing to remember while handicapping dime superfectas is that you are trying to play as few combinations as possible and still hit the jackpot. One thing a handicapper should keep in mind is that most of the time, the first two horses across the finish line, the exacta or quinella, is made up of two horse from the top five horses in the betting choices.

Another statistic that should be kept in mind is that the favorite is in the money, first, second, or third, about 3/4's of the time. So if you are looking for horses to key on in the first two positions, it makes sense to play the top five in both spots. The payoffs are hefty when a big longshot comes in, but statistically, an exacta or quinella with longshots is not likely to happen.

Consistency is a big consideration when you have limited funds. So you want to hit the superfecta as often as possible. Playing the favorite and second favorite in the top three spots along with other likely contenders is a must. You will almost always find them in the top three in some combinations. That makes your choices for the top spots in a dime super much easier. The next step is to put the longer priced horses in the minor positions for the better payoff.



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