Sunday, August 23, 2009

Daily Double Strategies For Horse Racing Handicapping and Betting Success

The daily double is one of the simplest exotic bets and was probably the first. In order to hit the daily double all you have to do is to pick the winner of the first race and then pick the winner of the second race. Of course, this has to be done before the first race goes to post, so there are some limitations.

The alternative to a daily double is a parlay bet. In the parlay bet you would wager on the horse you favor to win the first race, and if and when it wins, you take all the money you collected on the first horse and place a win bet on the second horse. Of course, there are variations on this bet. For instance, you may play each of the horses to place, or play one to place and the other to win, or even take the winnings from both bets, if you are fortunate enough to win your parlay and bet it on a third race. The upside of this is that you can build up a nice bankroll when you manage to put together three winners in a row.

The downside is that you can't miss a beat. Also, unlike playing doubles with multiple picks, you only get one horse in one race. Another positive factor of playing doubles rather than parlays is that with the double you get to see projected payoffs. With the parlay bet, you can only guesstimate what the final payoff will be.

The biggest selling point for the parlay is that you get to watch the pools before you pick the horse for the second part of your bet. I you are trackside, you also get to see the horses to decide if the one you've chosen is looking fit and ready. By watching the pools and making sure the barn is betting their own horse and by seeing the horse just before you make the bet, you get a big advantage over the doubles players.

That is why the old timers at the track used to laugh about the double and call it a gimmick. The real horse players wanted to watch the pools and see the horse they were backing. There is a lot of wisdom in that approach and that why a lot of those old timers, who'd learned their lessons the hard way, used to eke a living out of the track.

Whether you play the double or make a parlay bet, it can add value to your handicapping and betting, but it all still comes down to the same thing. You've got to be able to look at the horses lines and decide which ones are contenders and what a fair price is for each one.



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Is Anyone Making Money Handicapping Horse Races and If So, HOW?

As you leave the race track, OTB, or racino with your pockets empty, you may ask yourself, and anyone who will listen, if anyone ever really makes money at the race track. The tough part of this is that if someone is managing to beat the odds and making money, he or she isn't announcing it to the world. Of course, there are always those hucksters who are trying to sell their system and claiming that making money at the race track is as easy as falling off a log, but that is just advertising copy.

The truth of the matter is more difficult to get to. I've been going to horse races for 50+ years and here is what I've learned as a horse owner, groom, handicapper. It is darned difficult to make a living at the race track whether you are a handicapper, trainer, jockey, groom. It is just a tough competitive business, and yet, that is part of the allure. Some of us like doing things that are difficult.

Yes, you can make a profit betting on horse races, but here is what you must do, and believe me it isn't easy. First of all, plan on devoting yourself to it. Learn and keep learning, because though you may make a profit this year, I guarantee that by next year some things will have changed. You must be observant. Handicapping horse races is an intellectual sport. You must be smart or work harder to make up for it, if you can.

There is some cheating that goes on and then there are the vagaries of horse racing, horse racing luck, or chance, call it what you will. Sometimes a lost shoe will empty your pockets, you can blame the farrier who didn't get that nail quite right, or you can just shrug it off and say that the next time the other guy will lose because of that lose shoe and you will win.

That brings up another very important point. You must be philosophical. If you take it all to heart or feel that the universe is against you, you won't succeed at horseracing, probably not at anything else, either. You must care enough to be careful and work hard, but not so much that you can't take the ups and downs.

Keep notes, pay attention to everything, including the jockeys and trainers in the saddling ring the equipment the horse's are wearing or not wearing, post position stats and of course the track bias. Finally, don't get yourself into financial trouble chasing that dream because scared money doesn't win. Yes some people, maybe you, can win money, even make a profit, but it isn't easy or always fun, but like anything worth doing it is worth doing right and putting in the work.


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The Art of Bluffing in Horse Racing Means Good Poker Players Sometimes Make Good Horse Players

What do poker and horse racing have in common? For one thing, you can make money at either one, if you are very good. Good horse racing handicappers that learn the art of money management and how to find good bets can make money betting on horses. Good poker players who can read the cards and their opponents to find good bets can make money, too.

If you notice a common theme there, you're right. It is all about finding a good bet. Horse players sometimes have to spot a bluff and to know when to call it. In Holdem poker, good players learn to count the outs and figure pot odds. In horse racing, handicappers learn to rate a horse's chances of winning and then put a fair value on that.

One place where you will find a lot of bluffing in horse racing is in claiming races. Claiming races, also known as selling races, are a study in human nature and deceit. When a trainer has a good horse and wants to win a race, he or she must put that horse at a level it can win at. Unfortunately, in the claiming ranks, that means another trainer or owner can claim the horse. Some of the most astute judges of horse flesh are masters at the claiming game.

While it is a great boost to the ego to win a big stakes race, such as the Kentucky Derby, when it comes to horsemanship, saying that a trainer made his or her living on claiming races is a great compliment. It means that he or she really knew horses, how to spot a good one, how to patch one up, and how to keep it long enough to make some money with it.

If you are handicapping horse races for money and want to make money on claiming races, you'd better learn to spot a bluff. One way that trainers will bluff is by using front wraps on a horse, even if it doesn't need it. Obviously, front wraps may mean lameness, or tendon problems. Not many trainers want to claim a lame horse or one with bowed tendons. But if a trainer uses that trick too often, the others will get wise and the front wraps won't keep his or her horse from being claimed.

Just as in poker, a bluff should be used rarely to insure that when you do bluff, the other players won't call, in horse racing, using wraps will only work if you use them sparingly.

Other bluffs are very slow works, switching to a no name rider, a sudden and dramatic drop in claiming price, even starting rumors that a horse has a major problem. You may be sitting in the track kitchen having breakfast and overhear a trainer telling someone that a horse is all washed up and has a bad problem. A few days later you see it take a dramatic drop in class and it wins easily, but no one claimed it out of the race. You were probably meant to hear that rumor and also to spread it around.

You may never know if it was true but the trainer overcame whatever problem the horse had, or if it was just a fib to keep you from claiming that horse. So how do you, a horse racing handicapper manage to make money off these situations? First of all, you need to keep good notes and be observant. That means you can't play a lot of tracks at once. If you can physically get to a track, go to the saddling ring and look at the horses and make notes about equipment.

Then see how those horses do. Almost every track has a few trainers who are masters of the claiming game. If you can figure them out, you can make a living betting their horses because you'll know when they are well meant. I used to watch a certain trainer who had cheap horses and made a living in the claiming ranks. When he sat down in the first row of the grandstand, I knew his horse was going for the win, they didn't always win, but at least I knew they were well meant.

When he sat up higher, where he got a better view, I knew he was just watching. The reason for the seat change was that he had trouble, at his age, walking down to the winners circle and getting there in time for the photo from the higher perch. For a while this trick worked pretty well, but then he foxed us by sitting down low when he had no notion of winning. We bought anyway and bet his horse, only to watch it take a little breeze for exercise. You have to know when they are bluffing, but we made a lot of money until he caught us a few times and we paid some of it back.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson

Saturday, August 15, 2009

The Best Way to Become a Successful Horse Racing Handicapper is to Become a Trainer

Just when you thought you had too much to learn to become a successful handicapper and to make money betting on horses, someone is now suggesting that you have even more to learn. That's right, I am telling you that the best way to be successful as a handicapper is to understand how to train a horse. If you don't understand horses, how can you bet on them?

Knowing more about the training of horses will also help you understand the people who train them and that is very important. For one thing, how do you know if a trainer is serious about winning a race or is using the race as a form of conditioning for the horse? It happens al the time, the trainer puts a runner in the race with the intention of conditioning it or training it, not to win. In fact, jockeys sometimes have instructions not to win the race.

A trainer may something like, "Just breeze him today, he's not ready to win." In spite of what the trainer intends or the jockey will do, the public still bets the horse.

On any given race program I would say that up to 20% of the horses entered are not meant to win, and sometimes they may even be the favorite. How many times have you bet on a horse and it was never meant to win? How many of those bets can you afford?

Another reason to understand the training of a horse is to know what equipment changes will do for the horse. For instance, blinkers are often put on or taken off, but do you know why? Sometimes an equipment change can make a big difference and a horse will win.

The first step in thinking like a trainer and understanding horses is to look at horses that aren't winning and think of what you would do to make the horse win. The second thing you might try is reading a good book on horse training. The next thing you might try is reading the comments for horses and then seeing if the trainer does something differently with a horse.

For instance, if a comment reads, "waited" or "hung", when a horse seemed to lose momentum in the stretch run, it may mean the horse was waiting for another horse to come alongside or was looking for another horse to run with. The next time that horse runs, it may be wearing blinkers so it will look straight ahead and not wait for another horse.

If you see that comment and the trainer doesn't apply blinkers, what is to prevent that from happening again? Knowing that, the horse's chances of winning are probably pretty slim. That would save you one lousy bet right there. There are many bets you would not make if you could think like a trainer, and perhaps a few great ones you would make. So learn to think like a trainer and improve your chances of making money from your bets.



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How to Use the Class Drop to Pick Horse Racing Winners

One of the most misunderstood factors in horse racing handicapping is class. Ask a roomful of handicappers what class is and you will get a variety of answers. Some people will tell you it is the ability to run fast and speed and class are really the same thing. Other people contend that it is something inherent, yet intangible and hard to explain. They'll tell you it is an innate sense of confidence that a horse broadcasts to other horses.

While the classier a horse, the faster it usually runs, that is not always the case. For instance, if you look at the charts for a race track over the course of a week, you may find days when a cheaper claiming race had a faster win time than a classier race on the same day.

What is even more confusing is that horses with high speed ratings sometimes successfully move up in class while others, though their speed rating seem to justify running at a higher level, seem to fold up when confronted with "classier" horses. So how do you know if a class drop will really help a horse to win?

The difference may be in whether the horse actually was intimidated or simply didn't have the athletic ability to compete at that level. In my opinion, class is a combination of factors. It is heart and athletic ability combined. When I say heart, I mean spirit, or courage, or desire, in other words, the will to win.

So the first place to check for that will to win is in the past performances of the horse in question. If a horse is dropping in class, check its last few races and see if it tried to win. Did it flash any early speed? On the other hand, if it didn't make an early move, was it closing on the leader at the end of the race?

If it moved up in class in any of its recent races, did it show a marked difference in speed figures? In other words, was it intimidated and failed to perform up to its own ability? If you find that a horse did try, but just wasn't capable of competing at that level, it may very well succeed off the class drop, but if it was easily intimidated, then it may not try in the next race and may need several starts to regain its heart.



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Using the Third Race Back Angle to Pick Winning Horses

While the form cycle is often confusing and hard to figure or use accurately when handicapping horse races, there is one angle that seems to work well. If you are trying to find live horses that may improve off their last effort, then finding a horse that is on its third start after a layoff is often a good bet.

Fresh horses usually have an advantage over horses that have run many races because they are not worn out or lame. But while a fresh horse may not be lame or feeling the tiring effects of a long campaign, it may also need some races to get back into shape.

Mid season form is something you will often here when speaking of a horse at the peak of condition. That means that a horse that has some races will have gotten back into racing shape but still be fresh enough to compete at the top of the form cycle.

When we say peak, we mean at the top of the form curve. Any athletes, whether two legged or four legged, will have a form cycle. It can best be described as a curve. Naturally, though they may have had workouts and have been in training, horses will start at the bottom of the curve when they return to racing because it takes actual races and the heat of competition to hone those muscles and skills.

The first several races seem to help a horse condition its muscles and also to help it get its head back into racing. If you see a horse that is on its third race after a layoff of 60 days or more, figure that it will probably improve. The third start after a layoff angle is one of the better bets in horse racing, assuming that you can get fair odds.



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Rosehill Gardens and the Sydney Turf Club

Rosehill Gardens Racecourse is located in Parramatta in Western Sydney. Rosehill is also the home of the Sydney Turf Club and is considered, together with Royal Randwick, as one of Sydney's premier racecourses. The Rosehill Gardens Racecourse was opened in 1885, but today's modern facilities are a long way from that original rough and ready track.

More than 60 race meetings a year are held at Rosehill, the best known of which is the Golden Slipper Festival during the Spring Racing Carnival. There are approximately 7000 members of the Sydney Turf Club, which employs 160 full-time staff and many more casual staff.

Rosehill also has extensive training facilities and attracts some of Australia's top trainers, including John Hawkes and Chris Walker. Around 350 horses are trained at the Rosehill course.

Rosehill hosts the richest day of racing in Australia's horse racing calendar. Originally run in 1957, the Golden Slipper Day is a day that can make fortunes for trainers and punters alike. On that day, which is the last day in the Autumn Festival, includes the world's richest race for two-year-olds, the $3.5 million Golden Slipper. The Golden Slipper was won in 2008 by Glen Boss riding Sebring. The race has been dominated by winners descended from Star Kingdom, including the first winner, Todman.

Also on Golden Slipper Day, The BMW (also known as the H.E. Tancred Stakes) is run, with prize money of around $2.2 million, making it Australia's richest weight-for-age staying race. In 2008, The BMW was won by Tuesday Joy ridden by Darren Beadman. Previous winners have included Ethereal and Makybe Diva.

The fully-grassed course at Rosehill has a circumference of 2,048 metres with a 408 metre straight. There are also sand, cinders and grass training tracks.

Visitors can watch and dine in style in the modern J.R.Fleming Stand, which overlooks the main straight. The Ascot Club on Level 4 is the most popular dining venue where packages include a reserved table. On Level 5 is the exclusive Baguette Suite, which accommodates just 150 guests and is fully self-contained with a served buffet lunch, a private bar, and tote.

Outside of race day, Rosehill Gardens Racecourse is also a major function venue. The spectacular Grand Pavilion offers spaces suitable for conferences, awards ceremonies, product launches, and exhibitions, among other notable events. With 5000 free car parking spaces and easy access from the CBD and Sydney's airport, Rosehill offers a sophisticated event location. There are also a number of hotels within walking distance of Rosehill Gardens.

Rosehill Gardens Racecourse is approximately a 20-minute drive to the west of the Sydney CBD via the M4 motorway. Race day trains run direct to the track and visitors can also travel by Rivercat to Parramatta from Circular Quay.

Whether you are a horse racing fanatic or have never been to the track, Rosehill Gardens Racecourse offers you a chance to experience the drama and excitement of this enduring sport. The modern facilities might be a long way from the original 19th century simple stand-and-sand track, but today's crowd still enjoys the basic thrill of horse versus horse and the race to the finish line.



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Sunday, August 2, 2009

Horse Racing - A Fascinating Experience

Horse racing has fascinated people for thousands of years as far back as the days of Ancient Rome when chariots were raced, and this sport has always been a great way of keeping people entertained. If you have never been to a horse racing venue before you should seriously consider doing so, as it is a truly fantastic day out and the excitement and atmosphere is electrifying. This sport is very popular in both the United Kingdom and the United States and billions are wagered every year as spectators cheer on their chosen horse to the winning line.

In England there are many race courses that hold various meetings throughout the horse racing season and the most famous and popular of these is The Grand National which takes place in Liverpool at the Aintree Racecourse. This particular race is classified as a Grade 3 Steeple Chase and covers a distance of some four miles and four furlongs with sixteen fences for the horse and jockeys to tackle as they ride to glory. Of the sixteen fences mentioned, 14 are jumped twice and only the Water Jump and Chair are jumped once, so the horses have 30 fences in total to master in this world famous race that tests the determination of both horse and jockey.

A day out to the races is something that the whole family can enjoy and it is definitely worth your time to visit the paddock to see the beautiful thoroughbred horses paraded around before they are prepared for the race. These majestic animals are the epitome of speed and grace and watching these magnificent beasts racing to the finish line is a captivating experience the whole family will appreciate. Whether you go to the races for the thrills or to try and win some money, you are sure to have a memorable day that you will never forget.



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The Best System For Betting on Horse Races and Making Money

It doesn't take long for any one who is trying to make money betting on horse races to realize that you need some kind of system to organize the information and compare it so that you have a good picture of what the race will be like and what fair odds are on each horse. Horse racing handicapping systems help you to organize your thoughts and make good comparisons. Horse racing betting systems, on the other hand, help you to find good bets. There is a slight difference.

The one thing they have in common is that they help you with your thinking. Systems, as the name implies, are systematic and therefore, orderly and contain different factors that methodically applied will arrive at a conclusion.

The conclusion in a handicapping system is what each horse's chance of winning might be. In a betting system, the `conclusion is what fair odds on a horse should be. Can you think of any way to consistently and successfully doing that without a system? And yet, many people go to the race track every day without a system or a clue as to how they are going to make money from their bets.

The best system is the one that helps you to decide what each horse is worth in the odds pool and then finding one that is a good value. Which system will do that depends on several factors, the most important of which is you and your own personality. What kind of person are you and what do you want to do?

Are you a patient plodder who will take his or her time and wait for a good bet to come along, or do you want action in almost every race. The more action you want and crave, by the way, the harder it will be to show a long term profit.

Trying several systems and finding the one that will work best for you is probably your best bet. It takes time to go through systems and to use them and then decide whether you want to continue using them. One of the problems is that no system will give you instant success or long term profits without your own input and decision making. Some claim they will do that, but they won't.

But while you are trying systems, you will be picking up handicapping knowledge and that is a good thing. While an entire system may turn out to be something you don't want to stick with, you will usually learn at least on good and worthwhile thing from any good system and once you've learned those things, they're yours to incorporate into your handicapping.

As it turns out, trying different systems and picking those things you want to learn from each one may be the best system of all because when you are done, you'll have a very unique personalized system, made by and just for you.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson

Build Your Handicapping Tool Box One Horse Racing Factor at a Time

Handicappers build a toolbox that they can dig into to pick apart a race and then put together a strategy or campaign for profitable horse racing handicapping. Can you correctly identify the tools in your tool box? Do you use some kind of system to pick a race apart and then look at each part of it?

For instance, when you look at the speed figures of the horses, how do you compare them and quantify them? Some people merely look at the time in the last race, or average time at the distance. That may work for them, based on how they find good bets and other factors, but by itself will not show a profit. Putting several factors together, like speed, conditioning, connections is a good way to assign a morning line to horses, but assigning a morning line on just three factors isn't enough.

To make a profit betting on horse races you must have a whole bag of tricks, or box of tools and be familiar with them so that when you see a situation that requires a certain tool, you will reach into that box and pull out the tool. A good workman realizes that one tool doesn't do every job.

You don't use a screwdriver to drive a nail or a file to saw through wood. In a claiming race with horses dropping in class and running for new barns, speed figures and form will not be enough. You'll also have to use a tool that assesses how much effect each of the other factors will have on those speed figures.

You must learn how to compare speed figures but you must also learn what effect running for a new barn will have on a horse's average speed. That means you have to pull out your trainer tool and adjust the horse's average speed by whatever the average improvement or decline is that you know that trainer will be good for. So you adjust speed figures with trainer tools.

Next you adjust speed figures with form cycle for horses coming back from a layoff on their first second or third race back. But that also has to be adjusted by knowing how much the trainer pushes a horse and what he or she will expect from the runner. There are so many variables that affect each factor in horse racing, you must have a tool for comparing and adjusting them.

You must adjust each factor according to class, breeding, age, gender, conditions, connections. Only when you have done all this can you begin to know what a horse's real chances of winning may be and then, based on that, know what fair value is in the pools. Your method becomes your tool for each one.



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