Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Sneaky Longshot Secrets to Find Real Live Long Shot Bets at the Horse Races

The fastest and best way to make money on horse racing is to cash big win tickets on long shots. That isn't exactly a revelation. However, knowing when a horse is really live is no easy trick. There are people who quietly sit and watch the pools and the horses to know when a horse is live. They know the longshot secret.

The top two reasons horses go off at long odds and then win is that the barn has either, a. gotten the horse past a problem it had, perhaps by adding a tongue tie or blinkers, or b. held the horse back until they got the win odds high enough to make a major score by betting their own horse.

Horse are held back all the time. It is no secret in horse racing, and though the stewards try to curb it, no one can stop it. When a horse appears very good and is the favorite and loses, the stewards may ask questions. A wise trainer usually has a good excuse. After the horse loses a few more times, it usually convinces the public, and maybe the stewards, that the horse really is going sour.

Naturally the odds go up and when the time is right, the fit and ready horse wins. The stable and any one who was in on it wins big. I don't know what percentage of winning longshots were held back and what percentage were just horses that a good trainer managed to turn around in a hurry.

The term, "training race," is used to describe a race where the jockey is just exercising the horse and not trying to win.

Some jockeys will go for this and others won't. You may see a jockey get off what appears to be a good horse and get onto an inferior horse and ask yourself why. Sometimes it is because the rider knows the horse is losing its form and other times it is because he or she has been told to give it a training race.

Does this mean you shouldn't bet on horse races? Certainly not. It does mean you should just learn how to tell the difference and then you will be one of the few who knows when the barn is trying to win with their horse or just giving it some air. There is no guarantee that they will be successful at winning with their long priced horse, but when they do, the profits are huge.



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A Quick Guide to Brisbane Horse Racing

When it comes to the premier spots in the world for horse racing, Brisbane has to be mentioned among those. The capital city of Queensland is home to a handful of great tracks and punters make their way to these areas all year long to take in the great racing. As one might expect, gambling on the races in Brisbane is a huge draw that goes along with the racing itself, and this is as important as the races to many people.

Doomben is one of the best and most popular race courses in Brisbane, and is known for its competitive jaunts. Here, some of the finest horses in not only Australia, but in the world make their way and try to earn fame. Though Doomben might be tops in terms of notoriety, there are other courses that attract great crowds, as well.

At Gold Coast, some of the most exciting racing in the world happens. It is unique in that the track has a simple and effective configuration. The run to the first turn is incredibly short, making for some exciting happenings right off the bat. While many tracks make their patrons wait for passing and running the rail, this is one where the horses are going for position right away. For this reason, the racing requires horses to get off to a hot start and requires jockeys to get involved right away, rather than waiting a while to do his business.

Eagle Farm is another track where the betting is heavy and the racing is furious. At this track, the straightaways are very long, which makes for some quick racing. It is a place where the best conditioned horses win, since the long runs take a lot out of the jockeys and the horses alike. This is one track where horses never run out of room, since the turns are spacious and the racing lanes are extended. Older horses make their way at Eagle Farm, and the racing is some of the most intense in all of Queensland.



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Stop Losing Money on Bad Horse Racing Bets by Using a Guidelines System

Do you lose money on horse races? If so, you're not alone. On the other hand, like most people, there are probably times when you are ahead of the game, for a while. It may only be for a few races, a day, a week, or whatever, but almost everyone who bets on horses can say that he or she was ahead at some time.

Professional handicappers also have their losing times, but many of them manage to ride out the losing streaks and win enough at the end of the year to make a profit. It can be a long hard grind and there are very few people who can support themselves from their horseracing handicapping profits. On the other hand, there are people who make a modest amount of people and manage to stay a little ahead.

So if there are times that you are ahead, it means that you sometimes get it right, or perhaps, luck is on your side. Whatever the case may be, if you could eliminate some bad bets, you might stay ahead longer. A friend of mine used to be a pretty good handicapper and would often go home with more than he left with. His wife would ask him how he did.

He would tell her, "Well, I won $500 but then I made a few more bets and wound up with $300."

"Well why don't you just bet on the ones that are going to win, why bet on the other ones?" his wife would ask in disgust.

If only she understood that we bet only on the ones we think will win, but we don't know which ones are good enough until after the race. So we bet on losers as well as winner. What is needed is a method that eliminates those losers and that means you need a system with guidelines.

If you look over your losing bets, you may see a pattern. It isn't always easy to spot, in fact, sometimes it is downright impossible to see it, but a good system with guidelines can eliminate bad bets without all the effort of trying to figure it out yourself. What makes a horse racing system work better than no system at all is that the guidelines built into the system are often there to keep you from making bad bets.

The horses a good system eliminates are often more important than the ones it picks. Think about that.


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The Best Long Shot Bet in Horse Racing Handicapping

While most people would agree, after a few trips to the horse races, that long shot bets are where the money is, however, after losing money trying to win a few, most will agree they are also difficult to hit. Handicapping horse races for profit and trying to make money betting on races is hard enough without going after those horses who seem so unlikely to win.

But when a longshot does win, somebody cashes tickets on that winner. Do you ever wonder who had the horse and if it is all the people who just play their lucky number? Does it ever occur to you that someone actually looked at the racing program and picked that horse to win for a reason?

It does happen sometimes, but before you declare that person a genius, find out if he or she is ahead on his or her bets. The goal of playing the ponies is to make money, a profit. So the real secret to making money on longshots is finding a person who can spot a good longshot bet in the racing form or program and then make money from the bet.

There is no one single formula for finding good long shot bets, but there are a few clues. This is the single most important clue to finding a good bet on a horse going off at long odds. Before the races, go through the racing form and find every horse that is in the morning line at 10-1 or higher.

Next, look at each one of these racers and see if it has ever won at the distance, on the same surface, and at the same class level or higher. Now circle each horse that qualifies. Once you have identified horses that have proven they can win at the distance, surface, and level, find out if the horse who is the likely favorite in the race has done the same thing.

It is amazing how many times you will find a race where the favorite has not done what is being asked of it but another horse, going off at long odds, has done it. Now comes the tricky part. Figure out why the horse you circled is now a long shot if it has indeed proven itself capable of winning a race such as today's race. Is it coming back from a long layoff? Does its form seem to have tapered off?

What you are trying to find out is if that horse can improve today and also if the favorite is a false favorite. If you have the ability to watch the pools and spot inside money it is also helpful to know if the barn is betting that longshot.

Every day, at race tracks all over the world, people are surprised when horses win races even though the horse has done it before under the same conditions. Since horses go in and out of form and also respond to training and equipment changes, any horse that once managed to do what is being asked of it today should be considered a threat especially when the favorite is vulnerable.



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